Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry | Best betting odds, parlays and picks

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry takes place this weekend (Sat., July 20, 2024) inside Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., streaming live on DAZN pay-per-view (PPV). Initially, this date was supposed to host “El Gallo” versus Mike Tyson; however, after an incident on a flight, “Iron” was forced to pull out of the bout citing medical concerns.

When Paul needed a dance partner, he called upon “Platinum” Perry, who was last seen tearing it up at BKFC (but who has mainstream boxing experience under his belt).

The PPV co-main event for “Fear No Man” is undisputed Featherweight world champion Amanda Serrano. She will be moving up to Super Lightweight to take on Stevie Morgan. Also on the card is ex-UFC Middleweight Uriah Hall. He’s replacing Darren Till here to fight Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (who lost to Anderson Silva a few years ago).

Let’s checkout the money lines on “Paul vs. Perry” and most of the other bouts on the card

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Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Money Line Odds

Photo by Bradley Collyer/PA Images via Getty Images

Jake Paul (-425) vs. Mike Perry (+300)

Jake Paul’s boxing shell game still has plenty of life left in it. However, in putting together a short notice fight with Mike Perry he may have bitten off more than he can chew. The former Disney Kid has used pugilism to manufacture a new image for himself, one which… I guess makes him look tough, like he’s ‘got that dog in him’? It’s also made him a pretty penny, but probably not as much as other pursuits could have grabbed him. However, marketing sugar water or crypto coins doesn’t come with the street cred this stuff brings in (to a certain audience).

But, how did we get here?

Paul scurried into the fight game on his brother’s coattails, scoring a first round TKO on AnEsonGib during the undercard of Logan Paul vs. KSI in 2020. Paul then went viral for KOing diminutive former NBA player Nate Robinson (who apparently needs a kidney to live right now).

In 2021 Paul began trolling MMA. He TKO’d Ben Askren (see it here) and then outpointed Tyron Woodley. He then starched Woodley on short notice after a fight with Tommy Fury fell through (watch it here).

In 2022 Paul signed on to fight Anderson Silva. For a change, this was an opponent who didn’t have less boxing experience or size than Paul. However, Silva was much older. Paul was able to bully his way to a unanimous decision win over the tired mixed martial arts (MMA) legend.

Paul, feeling high on his own supply, then fought Tommy Fury; someone he couldn’t out-box, out-muscle or out-pace. That resulted in the first loss of his career. Next up, in 2023, he met a lackadaisical Nate Diaz who — after having his payout was guaranteed — fought a tepid 10 rounds against Paul.

Paul, who actually tried during the fight, won via decision.

With the pool of interesting opponents running low, Paul then padded his record with some hand-picked some tomato cans. Indeed, Andre August and Ryan Bourland were both knocked out in the first round (see it here).

So, what have we learned after all this? Paul knows how to win circus fights. He usually picks opponents who can’t box and who are smaller and/or older than him. He’s not a good boxer, but he can box a little.

Perry is smaller and older than Paul, but not by miles. He has a six-inch reach disadvantage, though.

Perry washed out of UFC in 2021 with a 7-8 record and a reputation for putting on fun and bloody fights. He’s undefeated in combat sports since then, winning six bareknuckle bouts (all but one with BKFC).

In BKFC he’s defeated Michael Page, Luke Rockhold (see Rockhold’s teeth get smashed here), Eddie Alvarez (via corner stoppage) and Thiago Alves (see the TKO here).

Before pivoting to MMA Perry was a boxer. He amassed an amateur record of 8-3 and then went 0-1 as a pro (losing via fourth round knockout).

Perry can fight — we all know this. His boxing is not very refined, but has proved effective in the venues he has been fighting in as of late. Skill aside, though, Perry has a notable intangible. He’s crazy. He’s the kind of guy Paul is desperate to be mistaken for. Perry is the one guy who might be telling the truth when he says he’s, “willing to die in there.”

So, that’s what this fight is all about. Does Paul’s beginner boxing (and reach, if he knows how to use it) beat Perry’s desire to f*** him up? The oddsmakers clearly believe Paul’s boxing will get it done.

I wouldn’t want to spend a second with either of these guys, but I would certainly enjoy seeing Paul dragged into the kind of fight he’s never wanted to have. However, my head tells me to stick with the bookies here. Paul should be big enough (and practiced enough) to keep Perry at arm’s length and then tie him up whenever Perry is able to get past his jab. Put me down for another boring decision for Paul.

Pick: Jake Paul via decision

Photo by Sarah Stier/Getty Images for Netflix

Amanda Serrano (-4000) vs. Stevie Morgan (+1500)

Back when Tyson was on the card, Amanda Serrano was slated to rematch Katie Taylor here. That bout, a replay of a 2022 “Fight of the Year,” would have made this event worth the price admission and given the show some much needed legitimacy. Serrano is now due to rematch (and potentially avenge her split decision loss) later this year, when Paul is supposed to finally fight Tyson.

Since that Taylor loss, Serrano has owned Sarah Mahfoud, Erika Cruz, Heather Hardy and Danila Ramos to collect (and retain) her undisputed Featherweight titles and pad her record as one of the best women boxers in history.

With the Taylor rematch postponed, Most Valuable Promotions pulled Stevie Morgan out of the local Florida scene. This fight will be at Super Lightweight, a few pounds out from where Morgan usually fights. She’s 8-1 (6 KOs), but she’s never met anyone remotely near Serrano’s ability.

Serrano is repped by Paul now and he uses her as a shield for those who think whatever he is doing is bad for boxing. This is a hand-picked opponent for Serrano to look great against while she bides time before the Taylor fight.

Pick: Amanda Serrano via unanimous decision

Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images

Ashton Sylvie (-360) vs. Lucas Bahdi (+265)

Like Serrano, Ashton Sylvie is represented by Jake Paul’s Most Valuable Promotions. And he’s pretty good, too. “H20” is 9-0 and he’s out-classed everyone Paul has set up for him to fight. He was recently given the headline slot at Most Valuable Prospects V. At that event, he eased past Estivan Falcao. Before that, he took out tough veteran William Silva with fast hands and some brutal body shots on the Jake Paul vs. Nate Diaz undercard (watch those here).

At 30 years old, Lucas Bahdi is 10 years older than Sylvie. He’s 16-0, but has never fought outside of Canada and Mexico. He’s being flown down to Florida to lose, but he’s also the best fighter Sylvie has faced in his young career.

Again, though, the bookies know what they’re doing here (and so do Most Valuable Promotions).

Pick: Ashton Sylvie via unanimous decision.

Photo by Alejandro Salazar/PxImages/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images

Shadasia Green (-1400) vs. Natasha Spence (+800)

Shadasia Green is highly ranked across the board at Middleweight. Last time out, “Sweet Terminator” lost to undisputed Super Middleweight champion, Franchon Crews-Dezurn. That was Green’s only professional loss. The last three of her nine professional wins have come on Jake Paul undercards.

MVP’s Green is a power puncher who has overwhelmed most of her opponents prior to her getting an actual test with Crews-Dezurn.

Natasha Spence is 39 (Green is 34) with an 8-4-2 record. She hasn’t won a fight since 2016. I don’t think this will end well for her.

Pick: Shadasia Green via TKO, round 1

Photo by Manuel Velasquez/Getty Images

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (-280) vs. Uriah Hall (+215)

Things have not gone well for Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. lately. In 2021, he lost a split decision to Anderson Silva on a card in Guadalajara that was intended to be a celebration of Chavez’s famous father. After losing to “The Spider,” Chavez was publicly dressed down by his dad. He bounced back with a decision win over David Zegarra, but soon after he was making headlines for all the wrong reasons.

In January, Chavez accused his father of beating his mother and conspiring to kill him (along with his ex-girlfriend). Around this time Chavez was also jailed for possessing an illegal and untraceable assault rifle at his California home. Police found the weapon when a 911 call suggested that Chavez may be a danger to himself and others.

In March Chavez entered rehab for drug and alcohol use.

Meanwhile, Uriah Hall left UFC in 2022 after back-to-back losses to Sean Strickland and Andre Muniz. His wins prior to that were against Chris Weidman (due to disgusting leg injury) and Anderson Silva (via TKO).

In 2022, he beat former NFL running back, Le’Veon Bell, via unanimous decision after four rounds. Hall easily beat Bell, who has zero boxing skill, but didn’t exert himself or look for a finish.

Chavez Jr. is the better boxer here, but I wouldn’t pick anyone who has had the year he’s had.

Pick: Uriah Hall via unanimous decision

Photo by Cooper Neill/Getty Images for Netflix

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Prop Bets & Parlays

Here’s a couple of things that look interesting for this Saturday’s “Paul vs. Perry”-led card …

Jake Paul by Decision or Technical Decision (+250)

A lot of the prop bets I have here are based around my belief that both Jake Paul will be able to earn a decision here and that Perry is too tough to be stopped. Paul is favored to KO Perry by Vegas (-125), but the only stoppages in Perry’s combat sports career are his lone pro boxing bout in 2015 and a head kick from Geoff Neal in 2019. I struggle to believe that Paul will be able to do, with 10-ounce gloves, something many others have failed with four-ounce gloves (or no gloves at all).

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry to go the distance – Yes (+250)

If, like me, you believe Perry is too tough to be finished by Paul, you might like betting that the contest goes the distance (eight rounds). I like this bet because I also doubt Perry KOs Paul. I think Paul will be able to fight on the outside versus Perry and tie him up enough that Perry’s chances to explode on the inside will be few and far between (if they happen at all).

Mike Perry to Be Knocked Down – No (+120)

This bet has the same reasoning as the past two bets.

Two-fight parlay: Ashton Sylve to defeat Lucas Bahdi and Uriah Hall to defeat Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. (+302)

These are the only two fights that don’t have wild lopsided odds. Ashton Sylve is a good boxer and, while his opponent deserves some respect, he’s been given a highly winnable fight here. Uriah Hall is the underdog against Julio Cesar Chavez Jr., but there are serious question marks about the former WBC Middleweight champion’s mindset heading into this one.

Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry Poll Time

Which of the earlier props and parlays do you like the look of the most?

Got something better than those? Well, don’t be stingy. Hit us with them in the comments.

LIVE! Watch ‘Paul Vs. Perry’ On DAZN PPV

FEAR NO MAN! International superstar and serial risk-taker, Jake “El Gallo” Paul, returns to the squared circle on Sat., July 20, 2024, inside Amalie Arena in Tampa, Fla., attempting to tame his most dangerous opponent to date, bareknuckle boxing champion and former UFC star, “Platinum” Mike Perry, streaming live online via DAZN pay-per-view (PPV) globally. “Paul vs. Perry” is scheduled for eight, three-minute rounds at Cruiserweight (200 pounds), replacing Paul’s upcoming showdown with Mike Tyson on Netflix, which was postponed until November (here’s why). Meanwhile, in the “Fear No Man” PPV co-main event, women’s boxing trailblazer and unified Featherweight champion, Amanda “The Real Deal” Serrano, will battle Tampa’s Top 10-ranked IBF, WBO and WBA knockout artist, Stevie “Sledgehammer” Morgan. “Paul vs. Perry” start time is slated for 9 p.m. ET, with a PPV price tag of $64.99.

Don’t miss a single second of face-punching action!

Remember that MMAmania.com will deliver LIVE round-by-round, blow-by-blow coverage of the entire Jake Paul vs. Mike Perry card right here, starting with YouTube “Prelims” matches, which are scheduled to begin at 7 p.m. ET (and right here). The remaining PPV main card will air on DAZN at 9 p.m. ET.

To check out the latest and greatest “Paul vs. Perry” news and notes be sure to hit up our comprehensive event archive right here.